The first College Football Playoff rankings of the 2021 season are coming out this week and how the selection committee will vote after nine weeks of action is the primary question dancing around football buildings across the country ahead of the reveal. Will they follow historical trends or are we in for a surprise?

Our first projection is based on historical trends and how selection committees in the past have previously voted with emphasis on strength of schedule, head-to-head competition and comparative outcomes of common opponents. Conference championships won is another important factor, but that is not coming into play until December.

Last season marked the first time all four teams at the top of the first Playoff rankings each went on to make the final four — Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson and Ohio State. 

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Perhaps that is a good omen for college football's remaining unbeatens, who each believe they deserve top billing from the committee. How do you think the selection committee will grade the teams in contention based on what we've seen up to this point?

Here's our updated top 25 projection on how the selection committee will vote ahead of Tuesday night's first Playoff rankings: